The Nelson-Tasman Future Development Strategy, or the FDS, is a high-level plan to determine how the Nelson City and Tasman District will accommodate the next 30 years of housing and business growth. It was adopted in July 2019.
The FDS will show where growth is to be located, and in what form, and what infrastructure will be needed to support that growth.
The two Councils have analysed three population growth scenarios, low, medium and high and estimated dwelling and business space demand for the 30 year period of 2018 to 2048.
The FDS identifies capacity for over 14,000 houses by 2048 even though high growth demand would only require 12,000. This reflects a range of uncertainties as to the nature and timing of over a 30 year period.
Analysis and modelling for Nelson and Tasman Districts indicate that sufficient housing capacity exists on zoned land and through Special Housing Areas to meet the next 10 years’ growth, although this will be regularly reviewed.
Sufficient business land exists for the whole 30 year period, but this capacity varies according to location. Additional business areas are therefore identified in Richmond, Mapua and Murchison
The Future Development Strategy is:
Residential and business growth is important to plan for. Without residential supply, prices go up, young people and skilled workers cannot afford to live here, and the economy suffers from labour shortages.
There are also statutory and legislative requirements on the Councils to plan for, and manage, growth. An important document is the National Policy Statement on Urban Development Capacity which places requirements on the Councils.
However, it is important to manage growth so that development happens in a planned way.
This is necessary to avoid hazards, avoid the undesirable effects of ad hoc development, and to ensure it occurs in locations where infrastructure can be provided.
Planning future growth and development always has challenges. All land has some constraints on use, and nowhere is entirely free from the effect of natural hazards.
The FDS has taken a large number of constraints into account using a multi criteria analysis method, in identifying the optimal locations for growth to occur. Some of the physical constraints are:
There are also considerations such as an ageing population, the trend towards smaller houses, and the significant benefits of intensification of urban areas.
The Future Development Strategy is a very high level document that will guide and inform the more detailed proposals and processes that will follow.
Public feedback on high-level scenarios and ideas took place in January and February 2019.
A second round took place in April and May 2019. After this consultation, the strategy was finalised, presented to both councils and adopted.
From 8 April to 6 May we ran an extensive consultation programme to help us develop the joint Nelson Tasman Future Development Strategy.
We will be undertaking a robust assessment of options, but throughout this process we want to know what you think. How do you want to see Nelson and Tasman develop in the future to accommodate the forecast growth? What are our options? Is there anything we should rule in or rule out? Where should we direct our efforts? Do you have any ideas that we may not have thought of?
Some examples to get you thinking:
An initial round of public feedback in February 2019 on how our region should grow gave us a broad idea of your preferences and priorities. Most feedback supported building up existing urban areas (intensifying) rather than building out (expanding) and starting from scratch (new settlements) .
Common themes were:
From your initial feedback we’ve been able to develop three different scenarios for how we grow over the next 30 years.
Our consultation in April and May is now asking you to look at these scenarios in more detail.
We want to know which option or mix of options you prefer, and why, and to suggest other places where you think we should allow housing or businesses to be located.
The second round of feedback on the Future Development Strategy (FDS) opens on 8 April and runs until 6 May.
View the reports:
Public feedback on high-level scenarios and ideas took place in early February 2019.
Round 2 is now complete.